Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 89055.535231 93938.781383 98818.760750 104058.025321 109520.378666 115043.982622 121048.256746
2025-05-25 80749.272739 88207.122662 95866.907304 104311.674830 113350.027107 122722.992755 133167.075827
2025-06-01 75528.321290 84810.192322 94550.271954 105511.662070 117481.950054 130135.082449 144498.964079
2025-06-08 70524.092251 81074.813850 92349.931737 105260.244355 119597.314458 134993.762764 152740.665671
2025-06-15 67607.081726 79308.607369 92010.134766 106769.106120 123392.704438 141482.650571 162600.791406
2025-06-22 64729.138710 77344.612446 91233.527449 107587.662632 126243.054948 146784.965281 171036.882664
2025-06-29 61804.836655 75133.150489 90001.714497 107725.638736 128180.941940 150949.348332 178106.765553
2025-07-06 59158.653766 73088.141849 88820.307478 107789.078889 129918.779920 154797.041544 184750.995922
2025-07-13 57815.953554 72474.826979 89214.920009 109605.590294 133623.206466 160862.030943 193930.192062
2025-07-20 56448.176773 71748.198901 89405.332896 111121.463988 136932.454611 166447.525862 202556.986422
2025-07-27 54853.264913 70668.652097 89108.044938 111998.685830 139443.293148 171075.474030 210061.762444
2025-08-03 52936.478952 69116.995910 88173.462540 112047.981969 140916.964335 174448.371711 216072.989806
2025-08-10 51203.788388 67751.365380 87436.637271 112323.698472 142670.653243 178186.579040 222585.336605
2025-08-17 49487.111359 66345.610066 86599.565070 112434.018091 144195.044774 181640.273695 228770.194699
2025-08-24 48443.344476 65739.006876 86707.887897 113673.119354 147073.233692 186715.585402 236919.892731
2025-08-31 46730.924418 64223.475719 85632.728586 113397.975056 148055.870640 189475.867076 242265.042593
2025-09-07 46009.007939 63943.859116 86078.580289 114998.827431 151343.752272 195042.457087 251044.152638
2025-09-14 44993.415520 63245.783530 85963.250374 115867.749431 153705.777902 199474.675005 258453.318321
2025-09-21 43706.991979 62150.912869 85304.309789 116014.184420 155138.317517 202750.454866 264444.048823
2025-09-28 42452.004046 61056.768098 84609.555967 116081.534900 156445.511764 205856.897736 270225.910943
2025-10-05 42065.096149 61098.755255 85370.367457 118010.411808 160113.316756 211914.082768 279705.255581
2025-10-12 41564.873371 60968.175054 85891.015086 119619.781653 163374.877681 217477.308029 288600.645328
2025-10-19 40808.175096 60465.390683 85902.571212 120550.996512 165760.101987 221944.287617 296142.956320